| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 6 2026 | W | Louisville | 41-38 | 1788.5 | -20.6 | 1767.9 | 63.5% |
| 2 | Sep 12 2026 | W | Charlotte | 41-9 | 1767.9 | +18.0 | 1785.9 | 98.4% |
| 3 | Sep 19 2026 | W | LSU | 32-24 | 1785.9 | +9.8 | 1795.7 | 43.6% |
| 4 | Sep 26 2026 | L | Florida | 28-52 | 1795.7 | -43.9 | 1751.8 | 55.3% |
| 6 | Oct 10 2026 | W | Vanderbilt | 52-17 | 1735.9 | +58.9 | 1794.8 | 65.0% |